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Supplementary Material

The Strong Growth Low Pollution (SGLP) report is based on an integrated suite of models that ensure a consistent set of projections at a global, national, sectoral and household level. The suite of models ensures sufficient detail in key sectors and provides insights into the likely transformation of the Australian economy under carbon prices. The supplementary material, available below, provide further details of the specific sectoral modelling undertaken for the report.

Modelling of the electricity generation sector is important for understanding the effect of carbon pricing on the economy. For this reason two specialist consultants, ROAM Consulting and SKM MMA part of the Sinclair Knight Merz group have provided detailed modelling of the evolution of the Australian electricity generation sector.

The detailed household impact analysis of the carbon pricing contained in the report is based on Treasury estimates from the PRISMOD models. Both ROAM Consulting and SKM MMA also provide estimates of household electricity price impacts using a different methodology. All methodologies produce consistent results, indicating an expected increase in electricity prices of around 10 per cent for household electricity prices with the introduction of the carbon price.

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Modelling the impact of a $23 carbon price on household expenditure
This note sets out a more detailed breakdown of Treasury's modelling of the impact of a carbon price on household expenditure for the Clean Energy Future package announced on 10 July 2011.
79KB
Corrigendum – Strong Growth, Low Pollution: modelling a carbon price report
This document outlines small revisions to the household electricity price projections contained in the SGLP report.
69KB
Carbon pricing and Australia's electricity market
Report prepared by SKM MMA (part of the Sinclair Knight Merz Group).
1.2MB
Carbon Pricing and Australia’s Electricity Markets: Additional scenarios
Report prepared by SKM MMA (part of the Sinclair Knight Merz Group).
701KB
Projections of Electricity Generation in Australia to 2050
Report prepared by ROAM Consulting.
3.7MB
Additional Projections of Electricity Generation in Australia to 2050
Report prepared by ROAM Consulting.
1.1MB
Road transport sector modelling
Report prepared by the Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO).
1.4MB
Road transport sector modelling: Supplementary report
Report prepared by the Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO).
419KB
Abatement potential from reforestation under selected carbon price scenarios
Report prepared by the Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics and Science (ABARES).
921KB
Indicative estimates of abatement from the Carbon Farming Initiative
Report prepared by the Department of Climate Change and Energy Efficiency (DCCEE).
177KB